Let the mean and variance of 7 observations 2, 4, 10, x, 12, 14, y, x > y, be 8 and 16 respectively. Two numbers are chosen from 1, 2, 3, x-4, y, 5 one after another without replacement, then the probability, that the smaller number among the two chosen numbers is less than 4, is:

Solution & Explanation

Related Formula
Mean x = (Σ xᵢ)/(n) Variance σ² = (Σ xᵢ²)/(n) - ( x)²
Core Logic

Given Mean = 8 for 7 observations: 2, 4, 10, x, 12, 14, y.

(2 + 4 + 10 + x + 12 + 14 + y)/(7) = 8 ⇒ x + y + 42 = 56 ⇒ x + y = 14 (1)

Given Variance = 16:

16 = (2² + 4² + 10² + x² + 12² + 14² + y²)/(7) - 8² 16 + 64 = (4 + 16 + 100 + x² + 144 + 196 + y²)/(7) 80 × 7 = 460 + x² + y² ⇒ 560 = 460 + x² + y² ⇒ x² + y² = 100 (2)
Step 1: Solve for x and y

Using algebraic identity (x+y)² = x² + y² + 2xy:

14² = 100 + 2xy ⇒ 196 - 100 = 2xy ⇒ 2xy = 96 ⇒ xy = 48

Since x+y=14 and xy=48, roots of quadratic t² - 14t + 48 = 0 are 8, 6. Given x > y, we must select x = 8 and y = 6.

Step 2: Construct the set and evaluate Probability

The new set X is formed by 1, 2, 3, x-4, y, 5. Substituting x=8 and y=6, we get 1, 2, 3, 4, 6, 5. There are 6 distinct elements: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6.

We choose two numbers without replacement. Total outcomes = 6 × 5 = 30 permutations (or 62 = 15 combinations). Let's use combinations. Total ways to choose 2 numbers = 62 = 15.

We need the probability that the smaller number is less than 4. P(smaller < 4) = 1 - P(smaller ≥ 4).

Step 3: Final Calculation via Complement

For the smaller number to be ≥ 4, BOTH chosen numbers must be ≥ 4. The available numbers ≥ 4 in the set are 4, 5, 6 (Total 3 numbers). Ways to choose two numbers from these 3 is 32 = 3.

P(smaller ≥ 4) = (3)/(15) = (1)/(5) P(smaller < 4) = 1 - (1)/(5) = (4)/(5)
Pattern Recognition

When statistical problems ask for "at least one" or "minimum bounding", calculating the complement probability (e.g., both elements strictly exceeding the threshold) cuts combinatorial checks from 3+ cases down to exactly 1.

Chapter Mix

Class 11 Maths: Statistics Class 12 Maths: Probability

Reference Study Guides

More Statistics and Probability Previous-Year Questions — Page 5

Q12 jee_main_2024_31_jan_evening Mean and Variance
Let the mean and the variance of 6 observation a, b, 68, 44, 48, 60 be 55 and 194, respectively if a > b, then a + 3b is
  • A. 200
  • B. 190
  • C. 180
  • D. 210

Solution

Related Formula
Mean x = (Σ xᵢ)/(n) Variance σ² = Σ (xᵢ - x)²n
Core Logic

Mean is 55:

(a + b + 68 + 44 + 48 + 60)/(6) = 55 220 + a + b = 330 a + b = 110

Variance is 194:

((a-55)² + (b-55)² + (68-55)² + (44-55)² + (48-55)² + (60-55)²)/(6) = 194 (a-55)² + (b-55)² + 13² + (-11)² + (-7)² + 5² = 1164 (a-55)² + (b-55)² + 169 + 121 + 49 + 25 = 1164 (a-55)² + (b-55)² = 800

Expand the squares using a+b=110: a² + b² - 110(a+b) + 2(3025) = 800 a² + b² - 110(110) + 6050 = 800 a² + b² = 6850 Using (a+b)² = 12100 a²+b²+2ab = 12100 2ab = 12100 - 6850 = 5250. (a-b)² = a²+b² - 2ab = 6850 - 5250 = 1600 a-b = 40 (since a>b).

Solving a+b=110 and a-b=40:

a = 75, b = 35

Finally, evaluate a + 3b:

a + 3b = 75 + 3(35) = 180
Chapter Mix

Class 11 Maths: Statistics

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