Given three identical bags each containing 10 balls, whose colours are as follows: beginarray|l|l|l|l| hline & textbfRed & textbfBlue & textbfGreen \\ hline textbfBag I & 3 & 2 & 5 \\ hline textbfBag II & 4 & 3 & 3 \\ hline textbfBag III & 5 & 1 & 4 \\ hline endarray A person chooses a bag at random and takes out a ball. If the ball is Red, the probability that it is from bag I is p and if the ball is Green, the probability that it is from bag III is q, then the value of left(frac1p + frac1qright) is:

Solution & Explanation

### Related Formula textBayes' Theorem: P(E_1|A) = fracP(E_1) P(A|E_1)sum_i=1^n P(E_i) P(A|E_i) ### Core Logic This is a conditional probability problem. We apply Bayes' Theorem twice: first for the Red ball, then for the Green ball. ### Step 1: Solve for p (Red ball) Let E_1, E_2, E_3 be the events of choosing Bag I, Bag II, and Bag III respectively. Since bags are identical, P(E_1) = P(E_2) = P(E_3) = frac13. The probabilities of drawing a Red ball from each bag are: - P(R|E_1) = frac310 - P(R|E_2) = frac410 - P(R|E_3) = frac510 Applying Bayes' Theorem: p = P(E_1|R) = fracP(E_1) P(R|E_1)P(E_1)P(R|E_1) + P(E_2)P(R|E_2) + P(E_3)P(R|E_3) p = fracfrac310frac310 + frac410 + frac510 = frac312 = frac14 Thus, frac1p = 4. ### Step 2: Solve for q (Green ball) The probabilities of drawing a Green ball from each bag are: - P(G|E_1) = frac510 - P(G|E_2) = frac310 - P(G|E_3) = frac410 Applying Bayes' Theorem: q = P(E_3|G) = fracP(E_3) P(G|E_3)P(E_1)P(G|E_1) + P(E_2)P(G|E_2) + P(E_3)P(G|E_3) q = fracfrac410frac510 + frac310 + frac410 = frac412 = frac13 Thus, frac1q = 3. ### Step 3: Calculate the requested value Sum the inverse values: frac1p + frac1q = 4 + 3 = 7 ### Pattern Recognition Simplification of Bayes' denominator: Since all prior events have identical probability P(E_i) = 1/k, they cancel out of the Bayes' fraction entirely, allowing you to work directly with the raw ball counts. ### Evaluation Rubric / Model Answer null ### Chapter Mix Class 12 Mathematics: Probability

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More Probability Previous-Year Questions — Page 6

Q19 jee_main_2024_31_jan_morning Variance of Random Variable
Three rotten apples are accidently mixed with fifteen good apples. Assuming the random variable X to be the number of rotten apples in a draw of two apples, the variance of X is
  • A. frac37153
  • B. frac57153
  • C. frac47153
  • D. frac40153

Solution

### Core Logic Total apples = 18 (3 rotten, 15 good). Random variable X = \0, 1, 2\ representing the number of rotten apples. ### Step 1: Probability Distribution P(X = 0) = frac^15C_2^18C_2 = frac105153 P(X = 1) = frac^3C_1 times ^15C_1^18C_2 = frac45153 P(X = 2) = frac^3C_2^18C_2 = frac3153 ### Step 2: Expectation E(X) = 0 times frac105153 + 1 times frac45153 + 2 times frac3153 = frac51153 = frac13 ### Step 3: Variance E(X^2) = 0 times frac105153 + 1 times frac45153 + 4 times frac3153 = frac57153 Var(X) = E(X^2) - (E(X))^2 = frac57153 - left(frac13right)^2 = frac57153 - frac17153 = frac40153 ### Evaluation Rubric / Model Answer null ### Chapter Mix Class 12 Maths: Probability

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