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Bag B_1 contains 6 white and 4 blue balls, Bag B_2 contains 4 white and 6 blue balls, and Bag B_3 contains 5 white and 5 blue balls. One of the bags is selected at random and a ball is drawn from it. If the ball is white, then the probability, that the ball is drawn from Bag B_2, is:

Solution & Explanation

### Related Formula Bayes' Theorem formula: P(E_2|A) = fracP(E_2) cdot P(A|E_2)P(E_1) cdot P(A|E_1) + P(E_2) cdot P(A|E_2) + P(E_3) cdot P(A|E_3) ### Core Logic Let the events be defined as: E_1: Bag B_1 is selected E_2: Bag B_2 is selected E_3: Bag B_3 is selected A: The drawn ball is white Since a bag is selected at random: P(E_1) = P(E_2) = P(E_3) = frac13 Conditional probabilities of drawing a white ball from each bag: P(A|E_1) = frac610, quad P(A|E_2) = frac410, quad P(A|E_3) = frac510 ### Step 1: Substitute and Calculate Substituting the values into Bayes' theorem: P(E_2|A) = fracfrac13 times frac410frac13 times frac610 + frac13 times frac410 + frac13 times frac510 P(E_2|A) = frac46 + 4 + 5 = frac415 ### Pattern Recognition When bags have equal selection probability, the required conditional probability is simply the number of favorable white balls divided by the total number of white balls across all bags: 4 / (6 + 4 + 5) = 4/15. ### Evaluation Rubric / Model Answer null ### Chapter Mix Class 12 Mathematics: Probability

Reference Study Guides

More Probability Previous-Year Questions — Page 2

Q53 2025 Classical Probability and Complex Powers
Two number k_1 and k_2 are randomly chosen from the set of natural numbers. Then, the probability that the value of i^k_1 + i^k_2, (i = sqrt-1) is non-zero, equals (1) frac12 (2) frac14 (3) frac34 (4) frac23
  • A. frac12
  • B. frac14
  • C. frac34
  • D. frac23

Solution

### Related Formula Probability of non-zero outcome: P(E) = 1 - P(E^prime) where E^prime represents the condition i^k_1 + i^k_2 = 0. ### Core Logic Powers of i repeat periodically every 4 cycles: \i, -1, -i, 1\. Total possible outcomes for the pair (i^k_1, i^k_2) are 4 times 4 = 16 cases. ### Step 1: Finding Unfavorable Cases The sum is zero (i^k_1 + i^k_2 = 0) when the values are additive inverses: 1. (1, -1) 2. (-1, 1) 3. (i, -i) 4. (-i, i) This yields exactly 4 unfavorable cases. ### Step 2: Computing Probability textProbability = frac16 - 416 = frac1216 = frac34 ### Pattern Recognition Whenever modular cycles exist (like exponents of i mod 4), compress infinite natural choices safely into a single cycle map. ### Evaluation Rubric / Model Answer null ### Chapter Mix Class 11 Maths: Complex Numbers Class 12 Maths: Probability
Q69 2025 Probability Distribution and Variance
Three defective oranges are accidentally mixed with seven good ones and on looking at them, it is not possible to differentiate between them. Two oranges are drawn at random from the lot. If x denote the number of defective oranges, then the variance of x is : (1) 28/75 (2) 14/25 (3) 26/75 (4) 18/25
  • A. 28/75
  • B. 14/25
  • C. 26/75
  • D. 18/25

Solution

### Related Formula Variance formula for discrete probability distributions: sigma^2 = sum p_i x_i^2 - mu^2 ### Core Logic Construct the discrete probability distribution matrix for drawing 2 items out of 10 total items (3 defective, 7 good):
Probability Distribution and Variance diagram for Q69 - JEE Main 2025 Morning
Probability Distribution and Variance diagram for Q69 - JEE Main 2025 Morning
x_ip_i
x=0frac^7C_2^10C_2 = frac4290
x=1frac^7C_1 times ^3C_1^10C_2 = frac4290
x=2frac^3C_2^10C_2 = frac690
### Step 1: Calculating the Mean mu = sum x_i p_i = 0left(frac4290 ight) + 1left(frac4290 ight) + 2left(frac690 ight) = frac5490 = frac35 ### Step 2: Evaluating the Variance Metric sigma^2 = sum p_i x_i^2 - mu^2 = left[0 + 1^2left(frac4290 ight) + 2^2left(frac690 ight)right] - left(frac35 ight)^2 sigma^2 = frac6690 - frac925 = frac1115 - frac925 = frac2875 ### Pattern Recognition Discrete tables are best managed by computing component factor rows systematically before finalizing variance updates. ### Evaluation Rubric / Model Answer null ### Chapter Mix Class 12 Maths: Probability
Q71 2025 Dictionary Rank with Geometrically Weighted Probabilities
All five letter words are made using all the letters A, B, C, D, E and arranged as in an English dictionary with serial numbers[cite: 666]. Let the word at serial number n be denoted by W_n[cite: 667]. Let the probability P(W_n) of choosing the word W_n satisfy P(W_n)=2P(W_n-1), n>1[cite: 667]. If P(CDBEA)=frac2^alpha2^beta-1, where alpha, beta in mathbbN[cite: 687, 689], then alpha+beta is equal to:
Numerical Answer. Answer: 183 to 183

Solution

### Related Formula Sum of geometric sequence series configuration: S_N = fraca(r^N - 1)r - 1 Total counts of permutations of 5 unique letter combinations = 5! = 120. ### Core Logic Set initial base state configuration parameter P(W_1) = x [cite: 1431]. Since probabilities escalate geometrically [cite: 1433]: sum_i=1^120 P(W_i) = x + 2x + 2^2x + dots + 2^119x = 1 [cite: 1432, 1433] x cdot frac2^120 - 12 - 1 = 1 implies x = frac12^120 - 1 [cite: 1434] ### Step 1: Finding Dictionary Rank of CDBEA Calculate alphabetical sequential position index values[cite: 1437]: - Words starting with A: 4! = 24 [cite: 1438] - Words starting with B: 4! = 24 [cite: 1438] - Words starting with CA: 3! = 6 [cite: 1438] - Words starting with CB: 3! = 6 [cite: 1439] - Words starting with CDA: 2! = 2 [cite: 1439] - Next word alphabetically: CDBAE (Rank 63) [cite: 1439] - Target word: CDBEA (Rank 64) [cite: 1440] Thus, target word index is exactly n = 64[cite: 1442]. ### Step 2: Probabilistic coefficient calculation Evaluate the specific targeted weighted entry value [cite: 1442]: P(W_64) = 2^63 cdot P(W_1) = frac2^632^120-1 [cite: 1442, 1443] Matching structural values with expression flags [cite: 1443]: alpha = 63, quad beta = 120 [cite: 1443] alpha + beta = 63 + 120 = 183 [cite: 1443] ### Pattern Recognition When probability states map through clean binary power scale jumps, their total summation creates standard Mersenne number forms. ### Evaluation Rubric / Model Answer null ### Chapter Mix Class 11 Mathematics: Permutations and Combinations Class 12 Mathematics: Probability
Q73 2025 Bayes Theorem
A card from a pack of 52 cards is lost. From the remaining 51 cards, n cards are drawn and are found to be spades. If the probability of the lost card to be a spade is frac1150, then n is equal to
Numerical Answer. Answer: 2 to 2

Solution

### Core Logic Let E_1 be the event that the lost card is a spade, and E_2 be the event that the lost card is not a spade. P(E_1) = frac1352 = frac14 quad textand quad P(E_2) = frac3952 = frac34 Let A be the event that n cards drawn from the remaining 51 cards are all spades. - If the lost card was a spade (E_1), there are 12 spades left out of 51: P(A|E_1) = fracbinom12nbinom51n - If the lost card was not a spade (E_2), there are 13 spades left out of 51: P(A|E_2) = fracbinom13nbinom51n ### Step 1: Applying Bayes Theorem We are given the posterior probability that the lost card is a spade, P(E_1|A) = frac1150: P(E_1|A) = fracP(E_1)P(A|E_1)P(E_1)P(A|E_1) + P(E_2)P(A|E_2) = frac1150 fracfrac14 cdot fracbinom12nbinom51nfrac14 cdot fracbinom12nbinom51n + frac34 cdot fracbinom13nbinom51n = frac1150 Canceling out the shared fractions frac14 and binom51n: fracbinom12nbinom12n + 3binom13n = frac1150 ### Step 2: Simplifying Binomial Coefficients Express binom13n in terms of binom12n using the identity binom13n = frac1313-nbinom12n: fracbinom12nbinom12n + 3 cdot left[ frac1313-n binom12n right] = frac1150 Canceling binom12n from numerator and denominator: frac11 + frac3913-n = frac1150 implies frac13-n13-n + 39 = frac1150 frac13-n52-n = frac1150 Cross-multiplying: 50(13 - n) = 11(52 - n) 650 - 50n = 572 - 11n implies 39n = 78 implies n = 2 ### Pattern Recognition When expanding binomial dynamic ratios like fracbinomAnbinomA+1n, always reduce the larger term fractionally using the absorption property to cancel out the factorial variables quickly. ### Evaluation Rubric / Model Answer null ### Chapter Mix Class 12 Mathematics: Probability
Q55 2025 Classical Definition of Probability
The probability of forming a 12 persons committee from 4 engineers, 2 doctors and 10 professors containing at least 3 engineers and at least 1 doctor, is:
  • A. frac129182
  • B. frac103182
  • C. frac1726
  • D. frac1926

Solution

### Related Formula Classical Probability: textP(E) = fractextFavorable CasestextTotal Cases = fracn(E)n(S) ### Core Logic Total pool size = 4 + 2 + 10 = 16 people. We choose 12. Total cases n(S) = ^16mathrmC_12 = 1820. List distinct combinations satisfying 'at least 3 engineers' and 'at least 1 doctor': 1) 3 Engineers, 1 Doctor, 8 Professors: ^4mathrmC_3 times ^2mathrmC_1 times ^10mathrmC_8 = 4 times 2 times 45 = 360 2) 3 Engineers, 2 Doctors, 7 Professors: ^4mathrmC_3 times ^2mathrmC_2 times ^10mathrmC_7 = 4 times 1 times 120 = 480 3) 4 Engineers, 1 Doctor, 7 Professors: ^4mathrmC_4 times ^2mathrmC_1 times ^10mathrmC_7 = 1 times 2 times 120 = 240 4) 4 Engineers, 2 Doctors, 6 Professors: ^4mathrmC_4 times ^2mathrmC_2 times ^10mathrmC_6 = 1 times 1 times 210 = 210 ### Step 1: Calculate Final Probability Summing favorable cases: n(E) = 360 + 480 + 240 + 210 = 1290 textP(E) = frac12901820 = frac129182 ### Pattern Recognition When constraints involve 'at least' for multiple groups simultaneously with a large committee size, creating structured exhaustive case distributions is safer and less error-prone than standard bijection/subtraction methods. ### Evaluation Rubric / Model Answer null ### Chapter Mix Class 11 Mathematics: Permutations and Combinations Class 12 Mathematics: Probability

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